WEEKLY WEATHER AND CLIMATE NEWS

26-30 November 2018


Items of Interest:

Weather and Climate News Items:

  • Australian tropical cyclone season outlook issued -- Forecasters at the Australian Government's Bureau of Meteorology recently released an outlook for the upcoming 2018-19 Australian tropical cyclone season that typically begins in November and runs through April. These forecasters foresee a fewer number of tropical cyclones than average within each of the five regions that surround the continent. They base their outlook upon the status of ENSO over the preceding July to September, the sea surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific Ocean and a survey of the suite of international outlook models. Therefore, their outlook for a lower than average tropical cyclone season is based upon the possible development of El Niño in the tropical Pacific Ocean and near average ocean temperatures to the north and east of Australia. [Australian Bureau of Meteorology]
  • Review of October 2018 global temperatures and sea ice cover -- Preliminary data analyzed by scientists at NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI) indicated that the global combined land and ocean average surface temperature for October 2018 was 1.55 Fahrenheit degrees above the 20th century average (1901-2000) for the month. Therefore, last month's global combined temperature was the second highest October temperature since global temperature records began in 1880, trailing the record highest October global combined temperature that was set in 2015 by 0.23 Fahrenheit degrees. When considered separately, the monthly average temperature over the global oceans for October 2018 was 1.30 Fahrenheit degrees above average. The monthly average October temperature of the land surface was 2.23 Fahrenheit degrees above average. Thus, the October 2018 temperatures over both the ocean and land surfaces ranked second in their respective records behind the record warm October 2015.
    When considering the combined land-ocean global temperature for the year to date (January-October 2018), this ten-month temperature was the fourth highest global temperature for the first ten months of any year since 1880. [NOAA/NCEI State of the Climate]
    A global map of Selected Significant Climate Anomalies and Events for October 2017 is available from NCEI.
    According to satellite data collected by National Snow and Ice Data Center, the sea ice over the Arctic Ocean during October 2018 was the third smallest areal extent for any October since satellite-derived ice records began in 1979. The sea ice around Antarctica also was the fourth smallest October ice extent in the last 40 years.
    The snow cover extent across North America in October 2018 was the second largest extent for October in 51 years of record. [NOAA/NCEI Global Snow & Ice]
  • An ENSO conference is held in Ecuador -- A staff member at NOAA's Climate Prediction Center recently posted a blog on the ClimateWatch Magazine describing her experiences attending the IV International Conference on El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) during mid-October in Guayaquil, Ecuador along with approximately 130 scientists from around the world. She discussed some topics presented at the conference, including ENSO in a warmer climate; the reasons for ENSO complexity; and the difficulties in predicting ENSO. [NOAA Climate.gov News]
  • Wind forecasts are improved for the renewable energy industry -- NOAA and the U.S Department of Energy (DOE) have been conducting research designed to improve forecasts for wind energy firms by between 15 and 20 percent. In addition, these forecasts could improve wind forecasts across the entire nation. The NOAA-DOE research, identified as "Wind Forecast Improvement Project 2" (WFIP 2), examined the physics of wind in complex terrain in the Columbia River Gorge between Washington and Oregon, with numerous wind farms. WFIP 2 is leading to an increased understanding of physical processes such as stability, turbulence, and low-level jets that affect wind energy generation in regions of complex terrain, such as coastlines, mountains, and canyons. [NOAA Research News]
  • An international global greenhouse gas information system is advanced -- Two weeks ago, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) hosted the first symposium and user summit of the Integrated Global Greenhouse Gas Information System (IG3IS) in Geneva, Switzerland. The aim of this three-day symposium was to bring together technical developers and key users from several different sectors to help inform and guide reductions in emissions of carbon dioxide and other heat trapping greenhouse gases driving climate change. IG3IS will help support the Paris Agreement on climate change. [World Meteorological Organization Media Centre News]
  • Atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations reach new record levels in 2017 -- The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) recently released its "WMO Greenhouse Gas Bulletin No. 14: The State of Greenhouse Gases in the Atmosphere Based on Global Observations through 2017." This report describes the state of the heat-absorbing atmospheric greenhouse gases for carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4) and nitrous oxide (N2O) based upon global observations through 2017. Carbon dioxide levels reached 405.5 parts per million (ppm) in 2017, a level not seen in 3-5 million years. In addition, concentrations of methane and nitrous oxide also rose, along with a resurgence of a potent greenhouse gas and ozone depleting substance called CFC-11, which is regulated under the Montreal Protocol. WMO foresees no sign of a reversal in these trends, which are driving long-term climate change, sea level rise, ocean acidification and more extreme weather. [World Meteorological Organization Media Centre]
  • United Nations climate change conference to convene -- The twenty-fourth session of the Conference of the Parties (COP 24) and the fourteenth session of the Conference of the Parties serving as the meeting of the Parties to the Kyoto Protocol (CMP 14) is set to convene next Sunday (2 December 2018) in Katowice, Poland and run through Friday, 14 December. The key objective of this Katowice Climate Change Conference is to adopt the implementation guidelines of the Paris Climate Change Agreement, namely to hold the global average temperature to as close as possible to 1.5 degrees Celsius. [United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change COP 24]
  • An All-Hazards Monitor -- This Web portal provides the user information from NOAA's National Weather Service, FAA and FEMA on current environmental events that may pose as hazards such as tropical weather, fire weather, marine weather, severe weather, drought and floods. [NOAA/NWS Daily Briefing]
  • Earthweek -- Diary of the Planet [earthweek.com]
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    Prepared by Edward J. Hopkins, Ph.D., email hopkins@aos.wisc.edu
    © Copyright, 2017, The American Meteorological Society.